t-distribution explorer

Four small experiments that go with the foundations page: how the tails depend on ν, why a noisy ruler fattens them, how they fall out of sphere geometry, and what they do to a loss.

1. t against the normal

Drag ν. The tail probability is the area beyond ±2.

3
t(ν)normal
t and normal densities.
P(|T| > 2)-
P(|Z| > 2)4.55%

2. Why a noisy ruler fattens the tails

20,000 experiments with n samples. Z divides by the true σ, T divides by the S estimated from the same n samples.

3
T (σ estimated)Z (σ known)
Histograms of Z and T.
share of T beyond ±2-
share of Z beyond ±2-

3. The same curve from a sphere

Random points on the sphere Sν in ν+1 dimensions. T = √ν cot θ, with θ the angle to a fixed axis.

2
simulatedtheorynormal
Angle histogram.
T histogram.

4. T-Loss: loss, gradient, weight

Per-pixel version. Drag ν on a log scale: ν → ∞ is MSE.

1.00
T-LossMSEMAE
Loss curves.

Gradient: how hard a pixel pulls on the weights.

Gradient curves.

5. The weight u in an intensity model (the BayeSMM idea)

One tissue class plus a few bright pixels (think scar). Gaussian fit against a t fit whose per-pixel weights u are learned (a small EM, not the paper's full variational scheme).

10%3
pixelsGaussian fitt fit
Fits.

Weight u of each pixel against its intensity.

Weights.
Gaussian mean / std (true 100 / 10)-
t mean / scale-